Bitcoin Could Hit $250,000 by the End of 2025, Arthur Hayes

In an April 1, 2025, Substack post by Arthur Hayes, the Co-Founder of BitMEX & Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at Maelstrom, he predicts that the price of Bitcoin could begin its journey to $250,000 at the end of 2025.

Arthur maintained that if his analysis of the U.S. Federal Government’s pivot from quantitative tightening (QT) to quantitative easing (QE) is correct, then Bitcoin is poised to begin rising to its target of $250,000 by year-end.

He argued that Quantitative easing (QE), which is a form of monetary policy in which a central bank purchases securities in the open market to reduce interest rates and increase the money supply, would be instrumental in Bitcoin’s next all-time high (ATL).

📈 UPDATE: Recently pardoned BitMex founder, Arthur Hayes, predicts Bitcoin could hit $250K as the Fed’s quantitative easing (QE) policies continue.

Hayes cites liquidity expansion as a key driver for BTC’s potential surge. pic.twitter.com/02BzlFgIsK

— Coinwaft (@coinwaft) April 2, 2025

He added that although Bitcoin trade is heavily dependent on the market’s expectations for the future supply of fiat currency, shifting to QE will boost investors’ confidence and make them divert their money to buy Bitcoin, which will result in the price of the coin soaring.

“If my analysis of the Red’s major pivot from QT to QE for treasures is correct, then Bitcoin hit a local low of $76,500 last month, and now we begin the ascent to $250,000 by year-end.”

Arthur wrote.

The Current U.S. Economic Policy is Favourable for Bitcoin

In addition, Hayes argued that this kind of policy shift, which signals a systemic move towards fiat liquidity expansion, has been recorded in the past to be favourable to Bitcoin and other hard assets.

He highlighted that Bitcoin lives in the digital realm, which allows it to be free from legal and political constraints that ensnare equities are ensnared with.

He even believes that Bitcoin is traveling the same route gold has traveled, but faster and more directly. Achieving liquidity through quantitative easing may bring about a delay, though, but a reprice will definitely happen.

Bitcoin Price Will Reach $5 Million, Michael Saylor

In another prediction, Michael Saylor, the founder of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), believes that Bitcoin will replace gold as the store of choice and has forecasted its price to reach $5 million per Bitcoin.

Michael Saylor explains why #Bitcoin is going to $5 Million. pic.twitter.com/NfSYPE96qE

— Vivek⚡️ (@Vivek4real_) January 25, 2024

He claimed that three things are needed for Bitcoin to reach the price that would make it unaffordable for many people, $5 million.

Moreover, he said the spot Bitcoin ETF approval will give large institutional investors easy access to Bitcoin.

He also stated that if banks are allowed to custody Bitcoin and offer loans against it, this will ease its integration into traditional finance and make it appealing to many investors. 

Lastly, he claimed that treating Bitcoin as other financial assets and taking advantage of its current advantages will increase its demand.

“If the banks can hold this stuff on their balance sheet, then a whole new class of investors are going to buy it.”,

Saylor said.