Parcl and Polymarket Partner to Launch Real Estate Prediction Markets

Parcl, a real-time housing data platform, and Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, have announced a partnership to bring housing-focused prediction markets to the blockchain ecosystem. The collaboration will allow traders to bet on U.S. home price movements using Parcl’s daily price indices as settlement references.

Polymarket and Parcl announced a partnership to launch real estate prediction markets powered by Parcl’s housing price indices. The collaboration will enable users to trade on the future performance of regional property markets using Parcl’s on-chain real estate data, expanding…

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The new markets will enable participants to forecast whether specific city home price indices will rise or fall over defined periods. Settlement will occur against Parcl’s publicly auditable index data, providing traders with transparent verification mechanisms.

Housing represents the largest asset class globally. However, expressing directional views on property prices has traditionally required taking on property-level complexity, leverage, or extended timelines. This partnership aims to simplify that process through event-market structures.

Initial markets will focus on major U.S. housing metros. Market templates will include questions tied to index movement across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Threshold-style outcomes that settle against published index values will also be available.

Polymarket Settlement System Explained

Each market will reference a dedicated Parcl resolution page displaying final settlement values. The page will show historical index context and methodology used to calculate the index. This gives participants a single, consistent source for verifying outcomes.

Prediction markets are gaining substantial momentum and represent a paradigm shift in how views are expressed, and truth is identified.

said Trevor Bacon, CEO of Parcl

He added that Parcl serves as the source of truth for real estate pricing.

Bacon emphasized that real estate should become a major category within the prediction market ecosystem. He expressed enthusiasm about partnering with Polymarket, calling them pioneers in the space.

Matthew Modabber, CMO of Polymarket, highlighted the importance of data clarity.

Prediction markets work best when the data is clear, and the outcome can be verified without debate.

Modabber stated.

He noted that Parcl’s daily housing indices provide a strong foundation for launching markets that settle transparently. Modabber described the partnership as the pathway to making real estate a first-class prediction market category.

Rollout Plans and Market Expansion

The two companies will roll out real estate prediction markets in phases. The initial launch will feature a curated list of high-liquidity cities. Additional metros and index-based market types will follow based on user demand.

Both teams will collaborate on standardized market templates and tooling. These resources will make it easier to create markets with consistent terms, dates, and resolution references across the platform.

The partnership arrives as prediction markets gain traction among crypto traders seeking new speculative opportunities. A recent 10X Research report noted that blockchain-based prediction markets are attracting more participants looking for returns beyond spot cryptocurrency holdings.

According to the December report, prediction markets are emerging as speculative arenas creating “extreme information asymmetry and meaningful arbitrage windows.” The research highlighted how professional traders often hold advantages over retail participants.

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While sports betting currently accounts for most prediction market activity, crypto and real estate outcomes present niche opportunities. Digital asset traders are increasingly exploring these alternative markets for potential returns.

The report also noted that major crypto trading venues have historically operated market-making desks. These desks provided liquidity while positioning against retail flow, according to 10X Research.

Parcl’s indices track housing prices daily across multiple U.S. metropolitan areas. The platform operates on blockchain infrastructure, enabling transparent and verifiable data publication for market settlements.

The real estate prediction markets will expand Polymarket’s offerings beyond its traditional categories. Traders will gain access to housing exposure without direct property ownership or mortgage obligations.

Market participants can expect the first housing markets to launch in the coming weeks. The phased approach will allow both platforms to refine settlement processes and user experience based on initial trading activity.